As the European Union addresses widespread concerns
that it must diversify its energy sources to ensure future supplies, Federico
Bordonaro, Europe analyst for the "Power and Interest News Report,"
discusses what options it has. He spoke with RFE/RL correspondent Michael
Scollon about the changes 2007 might bring
By RFERL
RFE/RL: How
will continued high oil and gas prices affect countries' efforts to ensure
future energy security in 2007?
Federico Bordonaro: This will of course push the great powers
to continue developing alternative strategies. So, bioenergies, but also
so-called "clean coal" -- coal technology that can be more
ecologically accepted -- and also nuclear power has already been in a revival.
RFE/RL: What concrete steps has the European Union already
taken in terms of alternative energies?
Bordonaro: The Finnish presidency of the European Union [in
2006] has actually insisted a lot on bio-energies and trying to augment the
level of investment in so-called second-generation biofuels. The
second-generation biofuels are obtained through gasification and they are
considered to be more secure and more competitive than first-generation ones
like bio-ethanol and bio-diesel.
RFE/RL: What
is Europe's best strategy to counter Moscow's emergence as an energy power?
Bordonaro: The mainstream opinion is that Europe should try to
unify its energy policy so that Moscow cannot play one European player against
the other and cannot generate an inner competition in Europe. Otherwise some
others think that each European Union member must first liberalize its market
dynamic, its market structure, inside because there are still very obsolete
rules inside.
RFE/RL: What are the chances of the European Union developing
a unified energy policy?
Bordonaro: I think that Europe is very unlikely going to have
a single, a common energy policy and energy market. Therefore, I predict is
that each European member state will try to get the best possible ad hoc
agreement with Russia. This is what Germany and Italy have already done.
RFE/RL: Why have some EU states opted for the individual
approach?
Bordonaro: Part of Europe, especially Germany and Italy, will
probably become more and more dependent on Russian natural gas. And it will be
very difficult, as far as I understand, to build up a common and effective
European energy strategy.
RFE/RL: What other obstacles stand in the way?
Bordonaro: Another problem is that France, for example, is
less dependent on Russia, and is probably less motivated to put so many
energies into forging a common energy policy. The most determined actor to
counter Russian moves appears to be Britain, and possibly Poland.